Ho Chi Minh 2025 World Cup 3 cushion Semi-Final Pre-Game Analysis
- Carom World
- May 24
- 2 min read
The World Cup continues with an exciting showdown between HEO J.H and HWANG B.J. On paper, HEO J.H looks like the heavy favorite, but as we know in 3-cushion billiards, surprises are always possible. Let’s break down the numbers and see who has the better chance of advancing!
Head-to-Head Stats
Here’s a comprehensive statistical breakdown and ELO performance analysis comparing HEO J.H. and HWANG B.J., including an estimate of win probabilities based on current ELO ratings and World Cup performance:
ELO Performance & Statistical Breakdown
📊 ELO Overview
🧠 Insight:Heo holds a clear ELO advantage, suggesting stronger consistency and better results over the season. His World Cup ELO of 1630 is elite-tier.
⚔️ Match Stats During World Cups
Metric | HEO J.H. | HWANG B.J. |
Average (General) | 1.830 | 1.848 |
Points Per Game (PPG) | 43.20 | 41.40 |
Points Against/Game | 32.00 | 32.20 |
Attack–Defense Diff | +11.20 | +9.20 |
🧠 Insight:Despite Hwang having a slightly higher general average, Heo’s net dominance is greater (+11.20), indicating superior match control.
📈 ELO Trajectory (2024)
HEO J.H. HEO
Best Peak: 1831 (Turkey Cup)
Consistent Top Tier: Remained above 1600 until late 2024.
Recent Dip: Down to 1544 (Egypt Cup)
HWANG B.J. HWANG
Stable but Lower Tier: Hovered around 1400 for most of the year.
Recent Drop: Fell to 1348 in Egypt Cup.
🧠 Insight:Heo played at a championship-contending level for most of the year, while Hwang stayed mid-tier, lacking breakout tournaments.
🎯 Win Probability (ELO-Based Estimate)
Using an ELO difference of 178 points (1508 vs. 1330):
Heo Win Probability: ~70.5%
Hwang Win Probability: ~29.5%
If we use the World Cup peak ratings (1630 vs. 1539):
Heo Win Probability: ~61.8%
Hwang Win Probability: ~38.2%
🔍 Summary Analysis
Strength Area | HEO J.H. | HWANG B.J. |
ELO Strength | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (Elite) | ⭐⭐ (Mid-tier) |
Match Control | Excellent (+11.20) | Good (+9.20) |
Scoring Volume | High (43.20 PPG) | Also high (41.40 PPG) |
Recent Form | Slight decline | Slight decline |
✅ Conclusion
HEO J.H. is the statistically stronger player with superior ELO history, attack-defense differential, and game control. While HWANG B.J. can pose a challenge with a solid average, the win probability strongly favors Heo, especially in high-stakes formats.
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